This new catalyst could send Bitcoin much higher from here

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Today’s issue in preview:

• This new catalyst could send Bitcoin much higher from here

• An important new development for “the world’s most important trend”

• How to invest in AI and robotics… with one great company

• Learn our Top Themes to buy now

This new catalyst could send Bitcoin much higher from here

Credit: Vertigo3d

We drew a line in the sand for Bitcoin. And it didn’t take long to cross it.

Now, the world’s leading form of “digital gold” is in a bull market by our reckoning.

Back in March, we wrote a bullish research note on how we believed Bitcoin had reached an important bottom.

And earlier this month, we noted that if Bitcoin cleared the $82,500 level and reached a new six-month high, it would signal that Bitcoin is back in a bull market… which could attract billions in new buying and send it north of $100,000 per coin. This would, in turn, help drive adjacent bull markets in blockchain-based stablecoin and tokenization trends.

It didn’t take long for Bitcoin to challenge our key $82,500 level and leave it in the dust. On Monday, Bitcoin rallied past that level to reach $86,000, a new 10-month high. This is a huge change in market climate compared to earlier this year.

After reaching an all-time high of around $125,000 last October, Bitcoin entered a brutal bear market, declining by about 48% to the mid-$60,000 range.

Crypto specialists attributed this decline to the U.S. government withdrawing liquidity from financial markets, as well as to gold and AI trades drawing money flows that could have been directed toward Bitcoin.

Most long-term Bitcoin believers see it as a “store of value” that should maintain its purchasing power like gold and beachfront homes do. It should be a digital form of “hard money.” Sounds great.

However, from October 2025 to February 2026, Bitcoin traded more like a failing technology company than anything you’d call strong and stable.

In March, Bitcoin’s trading behavior changed significantly. It formed a bottom and gained 9.5% in one month, while technology stocks dropped and gold gained just 3.2%.

Importantly, Bitcoin outperformed stocks and gold as Operation Epic Fury created tremendous market volatility and hammered many sectors of the stock market. It was a “port in the storm.”

Importantly, Bitcoin recently rallied above its long-term 200-day moving average. This is a good sign of an improving health trend.

Remember what we say about the 200-day moving average around here: Securities below their 200-day moving average are on the wrong side of the tracks. It’s the ugly part of town. All the really bad things happen below the 200-day moving average. Bitcoin has broken above it.

Bitcoin has not only rallied over the past month but has also done so while the CLARITY Act failed to pass Congress. Many industry specialists believed a “pass” of this bill was bullish and a “fail” was bearish. Well, it failed to pass. And yet, bitcoin kept rising.

So, after a year of disappointing believers, has Bitcoin regained its place as a “store of value”?

Is it ready to be a “port in the storm” and a stabilizing component of serious portfolios?

I believe that is the case.

As you can see in the chart below, Bitcoin recently cleared the $82,5000 level and reached a new 10-month high.

As noted above, I believe this break is a signal to the market that Bitcoin is back in a bull market… which will draw in billions of dollars in new buying and send it north of $100,000 per coin. This will be bullish for the bull markets in blockchain-based stablecoins and tokenization. Let the money flow begin!

An important new development for “the world’s most important trend”

Credit: KanawatTH

In yesterday’s issue, we looked at the fresh all-time highs reached by the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) and noted the move was a bullish new development for the AI infrastructure trade, which we’ve labeled “the world’s most important trend.”

MAGS is the largest ETF designed to give investors exposure to the “Magnificent 7,” a group of dominant technology firms comprised of Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), Tesla (TSLA), Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), and Meta (META).

Together, these firms are worth about $25 trillion and make up roughly 31% of the benchmark S&P 500. This group includes nearly all the “hyperscalers” leading the AI revolution. It plays a central role in the AI infrastructure trend. And much to the disappointment of AI bears, the group just reached a new all-time high.

But this move wasn’t the only hugely positive development for AI infrastructure this week. On Monday, the giant of AI memory – Micron (MU) – broke out of a sideways consolidation pattern and reached its highest point since early July. This is a big deal.

Over the past two months, we’ve published a special series of research notes analyzing the AI infrastructure megatrend.

The status of this critical trend has become one of the great sagas of the business and investment world… a source of intense disagreement among industry bulls and bears. It’s a trend whose outcome could have large effects on your portfolio.

Given AI’s enormous promise, the firms above have invested over $1 trillion in AI infrastructure. They are on pace to invest over $700 billion this year alone and more than $4 trillion after that.

Both the scale and the velocity of this investment boom are unprecedented. It is the largest collective investment effort in history.

Big Tech’s historic investment boom has made the entire “AI infrastructure” trend responsible for a large share of America’s GDP growth and stock market returns over the past two years. It has also drawn the skeptical scrutiny of many widely followed investment analysts who claim the trend is a bubble… one that will soon explode and cause tremendous damage to stock prices and the global economy.

If this hugely consequential trend isn’t the most important trend in the stock market, then it is certainly in the top three.

I believe the AI infrastructure trend has years to run. I believe the world’s smartest, most connected tech insiders who know the true state of bleeding-edge AI development and have real-time stats on AI investment ROI, such as Elon Musk, Jensen Huang (Nvidia), Satya Nadella (Microsoft) and Andy Jassy (Amazon), could possibly… perhaps maybe… just might… know far more about AI and their businesses than outsiders know about it.

As much press as AI gets, let’s remember that less than 1% of the global population pays for top-tier AI programs. And I estimate less than 10% of large companies believe AI has made a meaningful impact on their businesses.

This revolutionary technology hasn’t yet proliferated, achieved mass adoption, or had mass impact.

Over the past few months, we have analyzed price action in critical areas of the AI infrastructure trade – including the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) and optical networking stocks such as Lumentum (LITE) – to guide our trading. The trend in computer memory stocks such as Micron is another key aspect of AI infrastructure we must analyze.

Memory chips are a critical part of AI data centers because AI systems constantly require large amounts of data to perform their tasks. Think of memory as the information sitting within easy reach of an AI chip. The faster the memory, the faster powerful AI chips can get the data they need. As AI models get bigger and smarter, they need more and faster memory to keep up.

Micron is America’s largest memory chip maker. Along with South Korea’s Samsung and SK Hynix, it is one of the “big three” global memory chip makers. The state of Micron is essentially the state of the memory business.

The massive AI infrastructure buildout has been a boon to Micron’s business. Micron revenue grew 49% in fiscal 2025, and the stock soared over 950% from June 1, 2025, to June 1, 2026.

Since reaching a high in June, Micron’s stock has moved in line with the semiconductor sector, which we’ve been tracking closely.

As you can see in the one-year chart below, Micron declined from its June high and entered a directionless sideways consolidation. On Monday, the stock surged 2.77% and broke out of this sideways pattern to reach its highest point since June. Importantly, another AI infrastructure giant – Marvell Technology (MRVL) – did the same.

These new short-term highs by themselves are not “all clear, full speed ahead” signals for the world’s most important trend. But when you pair them with new all-time highs for MAGS, you see the weight of the evidence is tilting bullish for the AI infrastructure trade.

How to invest in AI and robotics… with one great company

Credit: OGULCAN AKSOY

If you look under the hood of the Magnificent 7’s rally to new all-time highs (detailed above), you see a large portion of it is attributable to a large upside move in Meta (META). The stock has gained 22% over the past two weeks, a phenomenal move for a megacap stock.

This move makes our bullish July 31 call on the stock a big winner. In that research note, we detailed how Meta was badly oversold, represented growth at a reasonable price, and would draw large amounts of buying from institutional money managers.

It didn’t take long for this thesis to deliver value. Meta stock is up 39% in less than two months, which is a tremendous 268% annualized pace.

“Great Hunt, but that’s in the past. What’s the next good big tech trade?”

I believe the answer to that question is a stock I’ve called “the best way to invest in AI and robotics at the same time” – Amazon (AMZN).

Avid Money & Megatrends readers know that we believe AI and robotics are two of the biggest business and investment trends of the 21st century. They will revolutionize the way we live as much as electricity or the automobile did…. while creating huge stock market winners along the way.

Tech giant Amazon is uniquely positioned to benefit from both technologies.

Although everyone knows about Amazon, the online retailer, and almost everyone is a customer, most people don’t know about Amazon, the giant employer of robots.

Last June, Amazon announced it had deployed its 1 millionth robot across its business. It describes itself as the world’s largest manufacturer and operator of mobile robotics.

Amazon operates more than 1,000 warehouses in the U.S. It ships millions of packages across millions of miles every month. This blizzard of activity can become more efficient and profitable with AI-enhanced logistics and robots that don’t complain, don’t take coffee breaks, and don’t ask for raises.

In other words, Amazon is uniquely well-suited to benefit from a megatrend in which robots will become cheaper, faster, more dexterous, more durable, and smarter soon.

Amazon is also heavily involved in AI. It owns equity stakes in AI leaders OpenAI and Anthropic. Plus, its huge AWS cloud computing division is benefiting from skyrocketing demand for AI compute. In Q2 2026, AWS generated $42 billion in quarterly revenue and 37% year-over-year growth.

AWS profit growth is also incredible. AWS’s operating income rose 64% YoY to $16.6 billion, with its operating margin reaching 39.4%, versus 32.9% a year earlier. AWS is now running at roughly a $169 billion annualized revenue rate

Add these robotics and AI assets to the world’s largest online retail business, and you get a pretty good bet on the future of technology in one stock.

Plus, a “back of the envelope” valuation analysis says you get all the growth and potential detailed above for a reasonable price.

Our conservative estimate of AWS value is around $1.5 trillion. Bank of America analysts recently estimated its value at roughly $1.9 trillion. From what we can decipher from Goldman Sach’s research, it has a roughly similar estimate of AWS value.

Now here’s where it gets interesting. Let’s break down Amazon’s E-commerce and Amazon’s Digital Ads business separately:

E-Commerce: Amazon’s annual revenue run rate in retail is currently $547 billion. Comparable retail businesses often trade at 1x–1.8x sales, which implies an approximate valuation of around $800 billion.

Digital Advertising: FY26 revenue is north of $80 billion, with operating margins likely above 50%, resulting in an operating income of $40 billion. At a conservative 20x EBIT multiple, we have an $800 billion business there alone.

Between AWS, E-Commerce, and Digital Advertising, you get to $3.1 trillion in value… which is more than Amazon’s current market cap of $2.7 trillion.

Also consider that Amazon’s combined stake in OpenAI and Anthropic is worth around $240 billion right now. Then there’s…

• Amazon Prime Video

• Zoox: Amazon’s autonomous vehicle bet.

• Project Kuiper: Amazon’s satellite internet initiative taking on Starlink.

• One Medical: Amazon’s primary care business

• And then add on the fact that Amazon is “still in the early stages of how we’ll leverage robotics” as per CEO Andy Jassy.

With approximately 800,000 warehouse and delivery employees, even a modest improvement in operating efficiency from automation can produce billions of dollars of extra free cash flow at Amazon’s scale.

In other words, there’s a lot to like about Amazon’s growth prospects. And as we’ve detailed above, the current valuation is not excessive. It leaves plenty of upside should Amazon build on its momentum and execute on its plans. History shows that’s a bet worth making.

Market Notes

• Our recommendation to invest in the genomics megatrend continues to pay off. Sector leaders Twist Bioscience (TWST), Natera (NTRA), and 10X Genomics (TXG) reached new all-time highs today. Twist is up 415% since our bullish note. 10X is up 578%. Natera is up 123%.

• The tech-focused Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) advanced to a new three-month high today.

• The widely followed and aggressive technology ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) reached a new 10-month high today.

• Tech supergiant Apple (AAPL) reached a new all-time high today.

Regards,

Brian Hunt
Editor, Money & Megatrends

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