Trading with Larry Live

📍 In this episode: 🕒 Timestamps: 👤About Larry Benedict Larry Benedict, a 40-year trading veteran and former billionaire hedge fund manager, delivered a 20-year winning streak to his clients through some of the worst market meltdowns. Now he helps everyday traders profit with hedge fund-level insights, strategies, and trade recommendations. 👤 About Eric Shamilov Eric Shamilov has over a decade of experience in trading and research. He began his career trading commodities for Henry Kaufman’s family office and later became the head trader of a quant-focused macro desk. More recently, he has been trading managed accounts for family offices and working alongside Larry Benedict. He studied at NYU’s Stern School of Business and is a member of the Economic Club of New York. 👤 About Clint Brewer Clint Brewer brings 20 years of investment industry experience. That includes providing research for some of the largest institutions in the world, including Fidelity, Capital Group, and Citadel. He managed more than $2 billion in assets incorporating quantitative, fundamental, and technical disciplines. Clint also holds a bachelor’s and a master’s degree in finance. 📢 Stay Connected 📢 Email: [email protected] Website: https://www.opportunistictrader.com/ #LarryBenedict #OneTickerTrader #Trading #StockMarket #Volatility #FedMoves #Premarket DISCLOSURE Investing always involves the risk of loss. You should never invest more than you are willing to lose. Past results are no guarantee of any future result. Trading With Larry Live is presented by Opportunistic Trader. Opportunistic Trader is a publishing company and the indicators, strategies, reports, articles, and all other features of our products — including these videos — are provided for informational and educational purposes only. For this reason, we operate in accordance with the SEC's “publisher’s exclusion” from certain securities laws. To qualify for this exclusion from securities licensing, we must be a “bona fide” publisher that offers non-individualized investment advice to the general public on a regular basis. Under no circumstances should you construe anything that appears in these videos, in our newsletters and reports, or on our website as personalized investment advice. If you have any questions or want more information about Opportunistic Trader and our policies, you can call our Member Services team Monday–Friday, 9 a.m.–5 p.m. ET at 888-206-3481 or email them at [email protected]

📍 In this episode: 🕒 Timestamps: 👤About Larry Benedict Larry Benedict, a 40-year trading veteran and former billionaire hedge fund manager, delivered a 20-year winning streak to his clients through some of the worst market meltdowns. Now he helps everyday traders profit with hedge fund-level insights, strategies, and trade recommendations. 👤 About Eric Shamilov Eric Shamilov has over a decade of experience in trading and research. He began his career trading commodities for Henry Kaufman’s family office and later became the head trader of a quant-focused macro desk. More recently, he has been trading managed accounts for family offices and working alongside Larry Benedict. He studied at NYU’s Stern School of Business and is a member of the Economic Club of New York. 👤 About Clint Brewer Clint Brewer brings 20 years of investment industry experience. That includes providing research for some of the largest institutions in the world, including Fidelity, Capital Group, and Citadel. He managed more than $2 billion in assets incorporating quantitative, fundamental, and technical disciplines. Clint also holds a bachelor’s and a master’s degree in finance. 📢 Stay Connected 📢 Email: [email protected] Website: https://www.opportunistictrader.com/ #LarryBenedict #OneTickerTrader #Trading #StockMarket #Volatility #FedMoves #Premarket DISCLOSURE Investing always involves the risk of loss. You should never invest more than you are willing to lose. Past results are no guarantee of any future result. Trading With Larry Live is presented by Opportunistic Trader. Opportunistic Trader is a publishing company and the indicators, strategies, reports, articles, and all other features of our products — including these videos — are provided for informational and educational purposes only. For this reason, we operate in accordance with the SEC's “publisher’s exclusion” from certain securities laws. To qualify for this exclusion from securities licensing, we must be a “bona fide” publisher that offers non-individualized investment advice to the general public on a regular basis. Under no circumstances should you construe anything that appears in these videos, in our newsletters and reports, or on our website as personalized investment advice. If you have any questions or want more information about Opportunistic Trader and our policies, you can call our Member Services team Monday–Friday, 9 a.m.–5 p.m. ET at 888-206-3481 or email them at [email protected]

📍 In this episode: Eric Shamilov and Clint Brewer dig into the massive overnight rally fueled by AMD earnings against yet another round of Iran peace deal headlines, with no actual resolution in sight. They unpack the gamma dynamics driving exaggerated intraday swings, explaining how dealer positioning means a 2% move up or a 1% move down could trigger a full-blown melt-up or a sharp sell-off. The duo also digs into the earnings picture, sharing a Goldman Sachs chart showing Q1 S&P 500 earnings growth tracking toward 27% while also flagging that the gains are coming from a dangerously narrow slice of the market. Together, they tackle the macro risks hiding beneath the surface: PCE inflation creeping toward 4%, a Fed with its most hawkish dissension since 1992, stagflation warnings from Ray Dalio, and a looming wave of mega IPOs from Anthropic, OpenAI, and SpaceX that may be the real reason the powers that be need markets at all-time highs. 🕒 Timestamps: 2:00 - Markets Going Crazy 2:31 - Iran, AMD, and a Market That Won't Quit 4:42 - The Gamma Trap: How Dealers Are Driving the Madness 6:54 - How to Track Market Gamma 9:05 - The Only Two Numbers That Matter Today 11:16 - Earnings Are Exploding 13:26 - War Headlines vs. Earnings 15:41 - Quality Is Getting Crushed 17:53 - The Myopia Is Back — And Retail Is Walking Into It Again 20:03 - Silver, DRAM, and a Stagflation Warning 22:17 - The Real Driver Behind This Rally 24:30 - Mag Seven's Identity Crisis 26:41 - The Fed Is Getting Hawkish 28:56 - The "Clown Show" Factor 31:09 - The IPO Pipeline That Needs a Bull Market to Survive 33:21 - Micron Trade: Playing It Neutral in a Wild Market 35:36 - TLT Setup: Is a Bond Bounce Coming? 37:49 - Home Depot's False Breakdown? 39:59 - Palantir Short Is Still Alive 42:12 - Nasdaq Levels to Watch as Iran Headlines Flip the Script 44:23 - Call Spread Strategy for Today's Open 👤About Larry Benedict Larry Benedict, a 40-year trading veteran and former billionaire hedge fund manager, delivered a 20-year winning streak to his clients through some of the worst market meltdowns. Now he helps everyday traders profit with hedge fund-level insights, strategies, and trade recommendations. 👤 About Eric Shamilov Eric Shamilov has over a decade of experience in trading and research. He began his career trading commodities for Henry Kaufman’s family office and later became the head trader of a quant-focused macro desk. More recently, he has been trading managed accounts for family offices and working alongside Larry Benedict. He studied at NYU’s Stern School of Business and is a member of the Economic Club of New York. 👤 About Clint Brewer Clint Brewer brings 20 years of investment industry experience. That includes providing research for some of the largest institutions in the world, including Fidelity, Capital Group, and Citadel. He managed more than $2 billion in assets incorporating quantitative, fundamental, and technical disciplines. Clint also holds a bachelor’s and a master’s degree in finance. 📢 Stay Connected 📢 Email: [email protected] Website: https://www.opportunistictrader.com/ #LarryBenedict #OneTickerTrader #Trading #StockMarket #Volatility #FedMoves #Premarket DISCLOSURE Investing always involves the risk of loss. You should never invest more than you are willing to lose. Past results are no guarantee of any future result. Trading With Larry Live is presented by Opportunistic Trader. Opportunistic Trader is a publishing company and the indicators, strategies, reports, articles, and all other features of our products — including these videos — are provided for informational and educational purposes only. For this reason, we operate in accordance with the SEC's “publisher’s exclusion” from certain securities laws. To qualify for this exclusion from securities licensing, we must be a “bona fide” publisher that offers non-individualized investment advice to the general public on a regular basis. Under no circumstances should you construe anything that appears in these videos, in our newsletters and reports, or on our website as personalized investment advice. If you have any questions or want more information about Opportunistic Trader and our policies, you can call our Member Services team Monday–Friday, 9 a.m.–5 p.m. ET at 888-206-3481 or email them at [email protected]

📍 In this episode: There are record highs on the S&P and Nasdaq while missiles are flying in the Middle East and Iran is firing on U.S. ships. Meanwhile, Larry and Eric call out Nvidia's surprising underperformance as the rest of the chip sector surges, explain why a single 1% decline could trigger a catastrophic gamma unwind, and reveal the one condition that will finally force the Fed to cut rates. The duo debate Bitcoin's quiet return to $81K and why no one seems to care, dig into the growing disconnect between Coinbase and Bitcoin prices, and go head-to-head on gold — with Larry making a bold call for a move down to the $4,400 handle. They also tackle the Iran ceasefire charade, break down the oil forward curve for a potential trade setup, and wrap with a record-low 25-point S&P straddle that signals exactly one thing: Iron Condor Day. 🕒 Timestamps: 2:00 - Market at Record Highs While Missiles Fly 2:32 - Nvidia's Dirty Secret 6:53 - Positive Gamma Explained (And Why It's a Ticking Clock) 9:40 - The Market-on-Close Imbalance 11:57 - How the Market Flipped on a Dime 14:45 - Trump's Iran "Deal": Is Anyone Buying It? 16:56 - Bitcoin's Back at $81K 19:17 - Coinbase vs. Bitcoin: A 60% Gap That Tells a Story 21:44 - The Gold and Interest Rate Debate 24:23 - When Will the Fed Finally Cut? 28:33 - The One Market Keeping Larry Up at Night 30:47 - Iran, the UAE, and "Below the Threshold" Explained 33:39 - Oil at $100: Support or Breakdown Incoming? 36:44 - The Forward Curve Is Sending a Signal 39:09 - Final Trades: Gold, Oil, Bonds, and Currencies 42:37 - A 25-Point Straddle? Iron Condor Day 👤About Larry Benedict Larry Benedict, a 40-year trading veteran and former billionaire hedge fund manager, delivered a 20-year winning streak to his clients through some of the worst market meltdowns. Now he helps everyday traders profit with hedge fund-level insights, strategies, and trade recommendations. 👤 About Eric Shamilov Eric Shamilov has over a decade of experience in trading and research. He began his career trading commodities for Henry Kaufman’s family office and later became the head trader of a quant-focused macro desk. More recently, he has been trading managed accounts for family offices and working alongside Larry Benedict. He studied at NYU’s Stern School of Business and is a member of the Economic Club of New York. 👤 About Clint Brewer Clint Brewer brings 20 years of investment industry experience. That includes providing research for some of the largest institutions in the world, including Fidelity, Capital Group, and Citadel. He managed more than $2 billion in assets incorporating quantitative, fundamental, and technical disciplines. Clint also holds a bachelor’s and a master’s degree in finance. 📢 Stay Connected 📢 Email: [email protected] Website: https://www.opportunistictrader.com/ #LarryBenedict #OneTickerTrader #Trading #StockMarket #Volatility #FedMoves #Premarket DISCLOSURE Investing always involves the risk of loss. You should never invest more than you are willing to lose. Past results are no guarantee of any future result. Trading With Larry Live is presented by Opportunistic Trader. Opportunistic Trader is a publishing company and the indicators, strategies, reports, articles, and all other features of our products — including these videos — are provided for informational and educational purposes only. For this reason, we operate in accordance with the SEC's “publisher’s exclusion” from certain securities laws. To qualify for this exclusion from securities licensing, we must be a “bona fide” publisher that offers non-individualized investment advice to the general public on a regular basis. Under no circumstances should you construe anything that appears in these videos, in our newsletters and reports, or on our website as personalized investment advice. If you have any questions or want more information about Opportunistic Trader and our policies, you can call our Member Services team Monday–Friday, 9 a.m.–5 p.m. ET at 888-206-3481 or email them at [email protected]

📍 In this episode: 🕒 Timestamps: 👤About Larry Benedict Larry Benedict, a 40-year trading veteran and former billionaire hedge fund manager, delivered a 20-year winning streak to his clients through some of the worst market meltdowns. Now he helps everyday traders profit with hedge fund-level insights, strategies, and trade recommendations. 👤 About Eric Shamilov Eric Shamilov has over a decade of experience in trading and research. He began his career trading commodities for Henry Kaufman’s family office and later became the head trader of a quant-focused macro desk. More recently, he has been trading managed accounts for family offices and working alongside Larry Benedict. He studied at NYU’s Stern School of Business and is a member of the Economic Club of New York. 👤 About Clint Brewer Clint Brewer brings 20 years of investment industry experience. That includes providing research for some of the largest institutions in the world, including Fidelity, Capital Group, and Citadel. He managed more than $2 billion in assets incorporating quantitative, fundamental, and technical disciplines. Clint also holds a bachelor’s and a master’s degree in finance. 📢 Stay Connected 📢 Email: [email protected] Website: https://www.opportunistictrader.com/ #LarryBenedict #OneTickerTrader #Trading #StockMarket #Volatility #FedMoves #Premarket DISCLOSURE Investing always involves the risk of loss. You should never invest more than you are willing to lose. Past results are no guarantee of any future result. Trading With Larry Live is presented by Opportunistic Trader. Opportunistic Trader is a publishing company and the indicators, strategies, reports, articles, and all other features of our products — including these videos — are provided for informational and educational purposes only. For this reason, we operate in accordance with the SEC's “publisher’s exclusion” from certain securities laws. To qualify for this exclusion from securities licensing, we must be a “bona fide” publisher that offers non-individualized investment advice to the general public on a regular basis. Under no circumstances should you construe anything that appears in these videos, in our newsletters and reports, or on our website as personalized investment advice. If you have any questions or want more information about Opportunistic Trader and our policies, you can call our Member Services team Monday–Friday, 9 a.m.–5 p.m. ET at 888-206-3481 or email them at [email protected]

📍 In this episode: In this episode of Trading With Larry Live, Larry Benedict and Clint Brewer break down one of the most disorienting market environments in recent memory. Larry calls it "lunatic land" and explains exactly why he's staying light on positioning while the rest of the market piles in with reckless FOMO. Clint digs into the AI hyperscaler CapEx numbers from Amazon, Google, and Meta — breaking down why the market's reaction to each was so different and why just four stocks are driving nearly 70% of earnings revisions. They also dissect the Fed's most divided rate decision since 1992, what the 2-year Treasury yield and CME FedWatch tool are signaling about rate cuts, and why the Iran blockade strategy may be fundamentally miscalculated. 🕒 Timestamps: 3:56 - Month-End Madness 6:06 - AI Hyperscaler CapEx: What the Market Is Missing 8:13 - Four Stocks Are Driving 70% of the Rally 9:22 - The Two Big Risks Nobody Is Talking About 10:19 - "Lunatic Land": Why This Market Makes No Sense 14:08 - The Fed's Hawkish Shift 15:15 - What the 2-Year Treasury Is Telling You Right Now 16:22 - CME FedWatch: No Rate Cuts Until 2027? 18:07 - The Iran Blockade Isn't Working 20:27 - We Can't Open the Strait of Hormuz? 23:34 - US Dollar Chart: A Short Opportunity Setting Up 26:46 - Meme Stocks Have Taken Over 28:41 - Today's S&P Straddle: What the Pricing Tells Us 30:50 - Larry's Current Position: Still Slightly Short 35:43 - Oil Trade Breakdown: What's Next for USO 38:28 - UAE Leaves OPEC: The Biggest Story Nobody's Watching 40:21 - Why Oil Could Fall 43:26 - FOMO Is Dangerous 46:33 - Trump-Xi Summit in May: The Trade Wildcard to Watch 👤About Larry Benedict Larry Benedict, a 40-year trading veteran and former billionaire hedge fund manager, delivered a 20-year winning streak to his clients through some of the worst market meltdowns. Now he helps everyday traders profit with hedge fund-level insights, strategies, and trade recommendations. 👤 About Eric Shamilov Eric Shamilov has over a decade of experience in trading and research. He began his career trading commodities for Henry Kaufman’s family office and later became the head trader of a quant-focused macro desk. More recently, he has been trading managed accounts for family offices and working alongside Larry Benedict. He studied at NYU’s Stern School of Business and is a member of the Economic Club of New York. 👤 About Clint Brewer Clint Brewer brings 20 years of investment industry experience. That includes providing research for some of the largest institutions in the world, including Fidelity, Capital Group, and Citadel. He managed more than $2 billion in assets incorporating quantitative, fundamental, and technical disciplines. Clint also holds a bachelor’s and a master’s degree in finance. 📢 Stay Connected 📢 Email: [email protected] Website: https://www.opportunistictrader.com/ #LarryBenedict #OneTickerTrader #Trading #StockMarket #Volatility #FedMoves #Premarket DISCLOSURE Investing always involves the risk of loss. You should never invest more than you are willing to lose. Past results are no guarantee of any future result. Trading With Larry Live is presented by Opportunistic Trader. Opportunistic Trader is a publishing company and the indicators, strategies, reports, articles, and all other features of our products — including these videos — are provided for informational and educational purposes only. For this reason, we operate in accordance with the SEC's “publisher’s exclusion” from certain securities laws. To qualify for this exclusion from securities licensing, we must be a “bona fide” publisher that offers non-individualized investment advice to the general public on a regular basis. Under no circumstances should you construe anything that appears in these videos, in our newsletters and reports, or on our website as personalized investment advice. If you have any questions or want more information about Opportunistic Trader and our policies, you can call our Member Services team Monday–Friday, 9 a.m.–5 p.m. ET at 888-206-3481 or email them at [email protected]