Don't Let One Hot Inflation Print Fool You
One hot inflation print is not the tipping point, Larry Benedict tells Eric Shamilov on Trading With Larry Live. Larry points to the 10-year note trading down 12 ticks before the number printed while the S&P stayed flat, as if stocks never got the message. The hosts also clash over what counts as...
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Why Every Nvidia Bounce Keeps Failing
Every Nvidia bounce keeps failing because buyers are caught in the stock, and Larry Benedict sells the rallies, on Trading With Larry Live. Buyers tried to lift Nvidia all morning and could not make it hold, which Larry reads as a crowded stock. The hosts also cover why the market bought bad news, why long calls lost money on a rally, and what an inverted VIX curve signals. KEY QUESTIONS Why do dip buyers keep failing to lift Nvidia? On November 9, 2026, Larry Benedict said buyers kept trying to bounce Nvidia and it would not hold. He believes people are caught in the name and says he likes selling Nvidia on any rally. What does it mean when the market rallies on bad news? On November 9, 2026, Larry said a market that stayed strong on bad news made him wary of the upside. Futures rallied overnight after a soft start, and he took that as a clue. Why can long calls lose even when a stock bounces? On November 9, 2026, the hosts said long Nvidia calls were not profitable after Friday's rally because time decay and falling implied volatility offset the gain. MARKET SNAPSHOT As of November 2026, as cited on air: Nvidia near $170 per share; VIX near 23 index points; Bitcoin near $74,000 per coin. CHAPTERS 0:00 Nvidia Selling Pressure at the Monday Open 4:18 Bad News Met With Buying as a Warning Sign 9:51 Long Nvidia Calls vs Volatility Crush and Time Decay 10:40 VIX Near 23 and Index Volatility in Single Stocks 17:09 AI Circular Financing Concerns Around Nvidia 18:12 Data Center Buildout and Regulation Risk 20:05 Why Nvidia Bounces Keep Failing: Larry's Read 24:14 Bitcoin Near $74,000 vs the Nasdaq 25:04 Europe's DAX Outperforms as AI Stocks Slide 26:56 Dollar, Euro and Gold Read 31:13 VIX Term Structure Inverted: What It Signals 31:57 Selling Nvidia Rallies: Larry's Closing View WATCH NEXT Nvidia's Blowout Earnings Couldn't Move the Stock: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mvYYwQuQnJI VIX Up 10% on a Flat Market: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9K-S7_8fFcM AI Stocks & Tech Trades playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLThT0CUcxBrM #LarryBenedict #NvidiaStock #VIX #ImpliedVolatility ABOUT LARRY BENEDICT Larry Benedict, a 40-year market veteran and former billionaire hedge fund manager who delivered a 20-year winning streak to his clients now helps everyday traders profit with a risk-focused approach to options, volatility, and macro trading. ABOUT ERIC SHAMILOV Eric Shamilov, a veteran trader with over a decade of experience, began his career trading commodities for Henry Kaufman's family office and later became the head trader of a quant-focused macro desk. He studied at NYU's Stern School of Business and is a member of the Economic Club of New York. ABOUT CLINT BREWER Clint Brewer is a 20-year investment veteran who managed over $2 billion in assets incorporating quantitative, fundamental, and technical disciplines and provided research for Fidelity, Capital Group, and Citadel. Clint also holds a bachelor's and a master's degree in finance. DISCLOSURE Investing always involves risk. Never invest more than you are willing to lose. Past results do not guarantee future results. Trading With Larry Live is presented by Opportunistic Trader, a publishing company. The indicators, strategies, reports, articles, and all other features of our products - including these videos - are provided for informational and educational purposes only. We operate in accordance with the SEC's "publisher's exclusion" from certain securities laws. To qualify for this exclusion from securities licensing, we must be a "bona fide" publisher that offers non-individualized investment advice to the general public on a regular basis. Under no circumstances should you construe anything that appears in videos, newsletters, reports, or on our website as personalized investment advice. For more information visit our website at https://www.opportunistictrader.com/trading-with-larry-benedict/
A Giant AI IPO Could Drain Your Stocks
Larry Benedict warns a giant AI IPO could drain your stocks if investors must sell other AI shares to fund it, on Trading With Larry Live. Larry Benedict and Eric Shamilov also cover heavy debt raising by AI companies, consumer staples priced like growth stocks, and a UK rate hike Larry says is part of a global rate rise. Anthropic has reportedly filed for an IPO, but Larry says there has been no roadshow or price talk yet. KEY QUESTIONS Could a giant AI IPO drain your stocks? On November 5, 2026, Larry Benedict said that if Anthropic goes public in this market, investors would have to unload a massive amount of AI stock to take the name in. The hosts called the sequencing the risk and said the IPO was supposedly 10 days away. Why is Larry Benedict worried about AI debt? On November 5, 2026, Larry pointed to debt offerings from Apple, Oracle and Meta and asked why companies with strong earnings are raising so much money. He said he is very concerned about the debt. Why are consumer staples priced like AI stocks? On November 5, 2026, Eric Shamilov put the consumer staples sector near a 25 P/E and Nvidia near 17, calling it a mini bubble in the dispersion trade. Larry said investors are buying Pepsi like an AI stock. MARKET SNAPSHOT As of November 2026, per the hosts on air: Kalshi odds of a December Fed rate hike near 80%; consumer staples P/E near 25 versus Nvidia near 17; Polymarket odds that Anthropic goes public by year-end at 91%; Nasdaq down about 9% from its high. CHAPTERS 0:00 AI Debt Offerings: Apple, Oracle and Meta 0:47 Equal-Weight S&P Reverses Against Nasdaq 1:46 Nvidia Slide as Money Rotates Into Staples 2:39 Data Center Risk in Georgia and Texas 3:43 UK Rate Hike, Warsh and Trump on the Fed 6:09 Staples Valuations and the Dispersion Trade 7:02 Factor Rotation: Short Covering, Not Real Buying 11:43 AI Debt Worries and Peak Earnings 13:59 Anthropic IPO: No Roadshow, No Price Talk 17:25 Fed Hike Odds on Kalshi 20:26 Post-Election Rally: Mirage or Signal? 23:58 Anthropic IPO Could Force AI Stock Sales 30:37 Polymarket Odds on the Anthropic Listing WATCH NEXT SpaceX Could Blow Up the Market: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0GZmGwcn0lI The Trap Lurking in Every Hot IPO: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NtznKCZwH8k AI Stocks & Tech Trades playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLThT0CUcxBrM #LarryBenedict #AnthropicIPO #AIStocks #AIDebt ABOUT LARRY BENEDICT Larry Benedict, a 40-year market veteran and former billionaire hedge fund manager who delivered a 20-year winning streak to his clients now helps everyday traders profit with a risk-focused approach to options, volatility, and macro trading. ABOUT ERIC SHAMILOV Eric Shamilov, a veteran trader with over a decade of experience, began his career trading commodities for Henry Kaufman's family office and later became the head trader of a quant-focused macro desk. He studied at NYU's Stern School of Business and is a member of the Economic Club of New York. ABOUT CLINT BREWER Clint Brewer is a 20-year investment veteran who managed over $2 billion in assets incorporating quantitative, fundamental, and technical disciplines and provided research for Fidelity, Capital Group, and Citadel. Clint also holds a bachelor's and a master's degree in finance. DISCLOSURE Investing always involves risk. Never invest more than you are willing to lose. Past results do not guarantee future results. Trading With Larry Live is presented by Opportunistic Trader, a publishing company. The indicators, strategies, reports, articles, and all other features of our products - including these videos - are provided for informational and educational purposes only. We operate in accordance with the SEC's "publisher's exclusion" from certain securities laws. To qualify for this exclusion from securities licensing, we must be a "bona fide" publisher that offers non-individualized investment advice to the general public on a regular basis. Under no circumstances should you construe anything that appears in videos, newsletters, reports, or on our website as personalized investment advice. For more information visit our website at https://www.opportunistictrader.com/trading-with-larry-benedict/
Who Dumped Stocks Before The Votes Were Counted?
Larry Benedict and Eric Shamilov ask who dumped stocks overnight as the Democratic sweep became clear on Trading With Larry Live. The hosts struggle to explain why stocks rallied after a result one host calls as bad as it could be. They also compare divided government with a Democratic House and Senate, flag the data center fallout, and say option premium selling is not paying this year. KEY QUESTIONS Who was selling stocks overnight as the Democratic sweep became clear? On November 4, 2026, one host argued the overnight drop had to be long liquidation, not new short selling. The hosts said the sweep was called early in the evening, and one placed the overnight low around 10 PM. Why did stocks rally after the Democratic sweep? On November 4, 2026, the hosts said they could not explain the rally, noting the result was widely expected and still came in more lopsided than anticipated. Is a Democratic sweep bad for AI data centers? On November 4, 2026, one host said the state building the most data centers flipped in every race and called it probably the worst outcome for AI and data centers. MARKET SNAPSHOT As of November 2026, per the hosts on air: S&P 500 down about 110 points overnight, then up about 84 points; Russell 2000 up almost 2%; oil near $93 per barrel; gold up about $100; Bitcoin near $78,000 per coin. CHAPTERS 0:00 Democratic Sweep Overnight: Larry Benedict and Eric Shamilov 1:54 S&P 500 Reverses From the Overnight Low 2:35 Data Centers: The State That Flipped 3:12 Gridlock vs a Democratic Sweep and Veto Power 4:48 The 10 PM Overnight Low 6:56 Nasdaq Lags as Russell 2000 Rallies 7:43 Oil, Gold and Silver Moves 10:56 Why Investors Never Sell 22:57 Option Premium Selling Not Paying This Year 25:46 Oil, the Euro and Bitcoin 27:57 Why Buy After the Worst Election Result? 29:56 Who Was Selling Overnight: Long Liquidation 31:15 Democrats Win States Not Won in 50 Years WATCH NEXT Trump Speech Reaction: Election Talk, Politics, and Market Uncertainty: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UejX4Jq7XNs S&P 500 vs Nasdaq Divergence: Will the Spread Reverse?: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aH6WptQoJDA Market Crash, Volatility & Warnings playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLLXIIxWvJm9o #LarryBenedict #MidtermElections #DataCenterStocks #OptionPremiumSelling ABOUT LARRY BENEDICT Larry Benedict, a 40-year market veteran and former billionaire hedge fund manager who delivered a 20-year winning streak to his clients now helps everyday traders profit with a risk-focused approach to options, volatility, and macro trading. ABOUT ERIC SHAMILOV Eric Shamilov, a veteran trader with over a decade of experience, began his career trading commodities for Henry Kaufman's family office and later became the head trader of a quant-focused macro desk. He studied at NYU's Stern School of Business and is a member of the Economic Club of New York. ABOUT CLINT BREWER Clint Brewer is a 20-year investment veteran who managed over $2 billion in assets incorporating quantitative, fundamental, and technical disciplines and provided research for Fidelity, Capital Group, and Citadel. Clint also holds a bachelor's and a master's degree in finance. DISCLOSURE Investing always involves risk. Never invest more than you are willing to lose. Past results do not guarantee future results. Trading With Larry Live is presented by Opportunistic Trader, a publishing company. The indicators, strategies, reports, articles, and all other features of our products - including these videos - are provided for informational and educational purposes only. We operate in accordance with the SEC's "publisher's exclusion" from certain securities laws. To qualify for this exclusion from securities licensing, we must be a "bona fide" publisher that offers non-individualized investment advice to the general public on a regular basis. Under no circumstances should you construe anything that appears in videos, newsletters, reports, or on our website as personalized investment advice. For more information visit our website at https://www.opportunistictrader.com/trading-with-larry-benedict/
Democratic Sweep Could Pressure This AI Stock
Larry Benedict says a Democratic sweep could pressure Palantir, an AI stock, on Trading With Larry Live with Eric Shamilov. On Election Day, November 3, 2026, Larry and Eric also cover Iran MOU headlines, oil, refiners, Kalshi election odds, Apple, the Nasdaq pullback and a possible Anthropic IPO. They also argue over two ways to trade a quiet day in the S&P 500. KEY QUESTIONS How could a Democratic sweep pressure Palantir? On November 3, 2026, Larry Benedict said that if Democrats win both the Senate and the House, Palantir could face a lot of trouble. In his view, government contracts may not keep flowing to the company without limit. Can Kalshi election odds be trusted over polls? On November 3, 2026, Larry said the money wagered on Kalshi is very rarely wrong, so he does not lean on polls. A viewer comment that Kalshi missed Brazil's election drew a debate between the hosts. Is the Nasdaq correction hurting investors yet? On November 3, 2026, Larry Benedict said retail investors who never sell their tech stocks are giving back some profits but are in no way hurt. In his view, the real pain would start well beyond this pullback. MARKET SNAPSHOT As of November 3, 2026, per the hosts on air: Kalshi odds of about 73% for a Democratic sweep; Palantir down from about $200 to about $160 per share; oil near $94 per barrel; Bitcoin near $77,000 per coin. CHAPTERS 0:00 Yesterday's Late Selloff: Larry Benedict and Eric Shamilov 1:22 Iran MOU Headlines and Military Standoff 3:37 Oil Price Outlook 4:35 Democratic Sweep and the AI Trade 5:38 Kalshi Election Odds and Polls 7:20 Marathon, Refiners and the Crack Spread 10:34 Nasdaq Pullback: Who Is Actually Getting Hurt 11:56 Palantir Midterm Risk: Democratic Sweep and Government Contracts 13:09 Election Aftermath and Government Shutdown Risk 15:08 Nasdaq Correction, Apple and Chip Stocks 20:03 Anthropic IPO Debate 23:34 S&P 500 Straddle vs Iron Condor Debate 27:38 China, Bitcoin and Post-Election Outlook WATCH NEXT Palantir's Chart Is a Warning: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6EWBNYmLFJc Is It Time to Short Palantir?: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yqguzZJqsxA AI Stocks & Tech Trades playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLThT0CUcxBrM #LarryBenedict #PalantirStock #MidtermElections #PredictionMarkets ABOUT LARRY BENEDICT Larry Benedict, a 40-year market veteran and former billionaire hedge fund manager who delivered a 20-year winning streak to his clients now helps everyday traders profit with a risk-focused approach to options, volatility, and macro trading. ABOUT ERIC SHAMILOV Eric Shamilov, a veteran trader with over a decade of experience, began his career trading commodities for Henry Kaufman's family office and later became the head trader of a quant-focused macro desk. He studied at NYU's Stern School of Business and is a member of the Economic Club of New York. ABOUT CLINT BREWER Clint Brewer is a 20-year investment veteran who managed over $2 billion in assets incorporating quantitative, fundamental, and technical disciplines and provided research for Fidelity, Capital Group, and Citadel. Clint also holds a bachelor's and a master's degree in finance. DISCLOSURE Investing always involves risk. Never invest more than you are willing to lose. Past results do not guarantee future results. Trading With Larry Live is presented by Opportunistic Trader, a publishing company. The indicators, strategies, reports, articles, and all other features of our products - including these videos - are provided for informational and educational purposes only. We operate in accordance with the SEC's "publisher's exclusion" from certain securities laws. To qualify for this exclusion from securities licensing, we must be a "bona fide" publisher that offers non-individualized investment advice to the general public on a regular basis. Under no circumstances should you construe anything that appears in videos, newsletters, reports, or on our website as personalized investment advice. For more information visit our website at https://www.opportunistictrader.com/trading-with-larry-benedict/
Fake Deal Headlines Keep Fooling Traders
Larry Benedict and Eric Shamilov on fake Iran deal headlines, the fragile AI trade, and volatility risk on Trading With Larry Live. On November 2, 2026, the day before the US midterms, Larry Benedict says near-daily Iran deal chatter keeps whipsawing gold, oil, and stocks while algorithms erase Friday's selloff from memory. Eric Shamilov points to chip stocks in a bear market as a crack in the AI trade, as Larry warns that volatility is a great game to short until it isn't. KEY QUESTIONS Why does Larry Benedict doubt the Iran deal headlines? On November 2, 2026, Larry said even the greatest Iran deal in history is never going to hold, because none has held yet. He said he planned to buy USO calls on the oil dip, arguing a deal doesn't solve the long-term need to refill the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Is shorting volatility risky right now? Larry warns short-vol sellers can get wiped out, recalling a Chicago market-making firm that blew out in a single day in 2020. On November 2, 2026, Eric said the VIX, near 19, should be closer to 35. Could the Anthropic IPO fail? On November 2, 2026, Eric noted Blackstone's comments that Anthropic won't get an investment-grade credit rating after its IPO. Larry said he thinks it could be a failed IPO, citing worried contacts in the space. MARKET SNAPSHOT As of November 2026: the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index was down about 26% from its June 2026 high (per Eric Shamilov); the VIX traded near 19 on November 2 (per Eric Shamilov); the Nasdaq was up about 12% for 2026 (per Eric Shamilov); US midterm elections were set for November 3, 2026. "Remember, the algo doesn't have a memory." - Larry Benedict CHAPTERS 0:00 Fake Iran Deal Headlines Move Gold and Oil 0:58 Friday's Selloff Forgotten as Index Vol Gets Suppressed 3:06 Oil Breakout and Larry's USO Call Trade 5:20 Treasury Yields and the AI Credit Scare 8:06 Nasdaq's 10% Correction and Apple Earnings 9:47 Anthropic IPO and the Blackstone Credit Comments 12:19 Filling Friday's Gap and the 40-Point Straddle 15:35 Short Volatility Risk: Index vs. Single-Stock Vol 19:07 Why Algos Need Low Volatility 20:54 Oil, Gold, Silver and the Euro Trade 22:46 Bitcoin, Ethereum and Crypto Security 24:08 Data Center Pushback and the AI Trade 25:00 Semiconductor Index Bear Market 29:58 Apple Downgrades and Midterm Election Risk WATCH NEXT The Ceasefire Trap Traders Keep Falling For: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ziK-tJc9i6k When Algorithms Control Every Market Move: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J7EYHiNEVAY Oil, Energy & Geopolitics: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLVE2294OB3rs #LarryBenedict #IranDeal #OilPrices #AnthropicIPO ABOUT LARRY BENEDICT Larry Benedict, a 40-year market veteran and former billionaire hedge fund manager who delivered a 20-year winning streak to his clients now helps everyday traders profit with a risk-focused approach to options, volatility, and macro trading. ABOUT ERIC SHAMILOV Eric Shamilov, a veteran trader with over a decade of experience, began his career trading commodities for Henry Kaufman's family office and later became the head trader of a quant-focused macro desk. He studied at NYU's Stern School of Business and is a member of the Economic Club of New York. ABOUT CLINT BREWER Clint Brewer is a 20-year investment veteran who managed over $2 billion in assets incorporating quantitative, fundamental, and technical disciplines and provided research for Fidelity, Capital Group, and Citadel. Clint also holds a bachelor's and a master's degree in finance. DISCLOSURE Investing always involves risk. Never invest more than you are willing to lose. Past results do not guarantee future results. Trading With Larry Live is presented by Opportunistic Trader, a publishing company. The indicators, strategies, reports, articles, and all other features of our products - including these videos - are provided for informational and educational purposes only. We operate in accordance with the SEC's "publisher's exclusion" from certain securities laws. To qualify for this exclusion from securities licensing, we must be a "bona fide" publisher that offers non-individualized investment advice to the general public on a regular basis. Under no circumstances should you construe anything that appears in videos, newsletters, reports, or on our website as personalized investment advice. For more information visit our website at https://www.opportunistictrader.com/trading-with-larry-benedict/
