Trading with Larry Live

July 31, 2026

How Apple Beat Nvidia While Skipping AI

When Algorithms Control Every Market Move: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J7EYHiNEVAY Fed, Inflation & Interest Rates: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLJazk_1wSKko #LarryBenedict #FedRateDecision #InterestRates #Nasdaq ABOUT LARRY BENEDICT Larry Benedict, a 40-year market veteran and former...

Video Archive

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July 30, 2026

What Managing 500 Traders Taught Larry About Who Actually Survives

After running a desk of about 500 traders, Larry Benedict says who survives has little to do with being the smartest person in the room. It comes down to temperament: taking real risk while still respecting it, trading a size you can actually sit through, and never letting one bad day tip you into revenge trading. What separates traders who last from the ones who blow up? Larry's take is discipline over raw horsepower. The ones who survive can be aggressive and a little scared at the same time, they keep their size small enough that a swing can't force them out, and they step away before a loss turns personal. Watch the full episode: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9bnCx9RbMK4 #Trading #TradingPsychology #RiskManagement ABOUT LARRY BENEDICT Larry Benedict, a 40-year market veteran and former billionaire hedge fund manager who delivered a 20-year winning streak to his clients now helps everyday traders profit with a risk-focused approach to options, volatility, and macro trading. ABOUT ERIC SHAMILOV Eric Shamilov, a veteran trader with over a decade of experience, began his career trading commodities for Henry Kaufman's family office and later became the head trader of a quant-focused macro desk. He studied at NYU's Stern School of Business and is a member of the Economic Club of New York. ABOUT CLINT BREWER Clint Brewer is a 20-year investment veteran who managed over $2 billion in assets incorporating quantitative, fundamental, and technical disciplines and provided research for Fidelity, Capital Group, and Citadel. Clint also holds a bachelor's and a master's degree in finance. DISCLOSURE Investing always involves risk. Never invest more than you are willing to lose. Past results do not guarantee future results. Trading With Larry Live is presented by Opportunistic Trader, a publishing company. The indicators, strategies, reports, articles, and all other features of our products - including these videos - are provided for informational and educational purposes only. We operate in accordance with the SEC's "publisher's exclusion" from certain securities laws. To qualify for this exclusion from securities licensing, we must be a "bona fide" publisher that offers non-individualized investment advice to the general public on a regular basis. Under no circumstances should you construe anything that appears in videos, newsletters, reports, or on our website as personalized investment advice. For more information visit our website at https://www.opportunistictrader.com/trading-with-larry-benedict/

July 30, 2026

Why Larry Won't Bet on a Fed Surprise

The Hidden Pressure Behind Record Highs: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ftuukOW-IgI Market Crash, Volatility & Warnings: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLLXIIxWvJm9o #LarryBenedict #KoreaStockMarket #NasdaqCorrection #StockMarketCrash #MicronStock ABOUT LARRY BENEDICT Larry Benedict, a 40-year market veteran and former billionaire hedge fund manager who delivered a 20-year winning streak to his clients now helps everyday traders profit with a risk-focused approach to options, volatility, and macro trading. ABOUT ERIC SHAMILOV Eric Shamilov, a veteran trader with over a decade of experience, began his career trading commodities for Henry Kaufman's family office and later became the head trader of a quant-focused macro desk. He studied at NYU's Stern School of Business and is a member of the Economic Club of New York. ABOUT CLINT BREWER Clint Brewer is a 20-year investment veteran who managed over $2 billion in assets incorporating quantitative, fundamental, and technical disciplines and provided research for Fidelity, Capital Group, and Citadel. Clint also holds a bachelor's and a master's degree in finance. DISCLOSURE Investing always involves risk. Never invest more than you are willing to lose. Past results do not guarantee future results. Trading With Larry Live is presented by Opportunistic Trader, a publishing company. The indicators, strategies, reports, articles, and all other features of our products - including these videos - are provided for informational and educational purposes only. We operate in accordance with the SEC's "publisher's exclusion" from certain securities laws. To qualify for this exclusion from securities licensing, we must be a "bona fide" publisher that offers non-individualized investment advice to the general public on a regular basis. Under no circumstances should you construe anything that appears in videos, newsletters, reports, or on our website as personalized investment advice. For more information visit our website at https://www.opportunistictrader.com/trading-with-larry-benedict/

July 29, 2026

A Foreign Market Crash Could Be a Warning

Larry Benedict says South Korea's stock market crash could be a warning sign for U.S. stocks on Trading With Larry Live. On July 28, 2026, Larry Benedict and Eric Shamilov broke down South Korea's KOSPI plunging from above 9,000 to below 6,000, a drop of more than 40% from its high. Larry also says the Fed is 100% not raising rates at this week's meeting, even as Micron's (MU) wild swings keep driving the Nasdaq around. KEY QUESTIONS Why is Larry Benedict watching South Korea's stock market crash? Larry Benedict flagged the KOSPI's single overnight drop of about 10% on July 28, 2026, calling it a preview of how fast U.S. indexes could unravel if the same kind of algorithmic selling hits Wall Street. Is the Nasdaq actually in a correction right now? Larry Benedict says yes. As of July 28, 2026, the Nasdaq is down 8.6% from its highest close, even as the S&P stays calm. Why does Larry Benedict say Micron is running the entire stock market? Micron (MU) is swinging up or down about $50 a day on razor-thin liquidity as of July 28, 2026. Larry says that one stock is moving the Nasdaq more than any other Mag Seven name. MARKET SNAPSHOT As of July 2026: Nasdaq down 8.6% from its high; KOSPI down more than 40% and trading below 6,000; WTI crude at $81.35 per barrel; 10-year Treasury yield near 4.73%, stabilizing. "There is no human being, no thinking mind that is trading right now." - Larry Benedict CHAPTERS 0:00 Nasdaq Correction Debate Begins 5:35 Is This Really a Technical Correction 14:04 Long the Equally Weighted S&P Trade 15:15 Seagate Earnings Preview Tonight 18:30 Korea's KOSPI Crash Explained 20:41 Nvidia's Market Cap Dwarfs Boeing 27:19 Micron's Wall Street Target-Chasing Frenzy 37:28 Credit Default Swaps Flash Mag Seven Risk 39:01 SpaceX Short Thesis and Poster Child Warning 41:10 Why Micron Is Running the Market 43:16 Fed Meeting Odds Against a Rate Hike 45:57 No Human Is Trading This Market WATCH NEXT Zero Fear Pricing Signals Hidden Risk: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YfKTy4ZZCqY The Hidden Pressure Behind Record Highs: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ftuukOW-IgI Market Crash, Volatility & Warnings: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLLXIIxWvJm9o #LarryBenedict #KoreaStockMarket #NasdaqCorrection #StockMarketCrash #MicronStock ABOUT LARRY BENEDICT Larry Benedict, a 40-year market veteran and former billionaire hedge fund manager who delivered a 20-year winning streak to his clients now helps everyday traders profit with a risk-focused approach to options, volatility, and macro trading. ABOUT ERIC SHAMILOV Eric Shamilov, a veteran trader with over a decade of experience, began his career trading commodities for Henry Kaufman's family office and later became the head trader of a quant-focused macro desk. He studied at NYU's Stern School of Business and is a member of the Economic Club of New York. ABOUT CLINT BREWER Clint Brewer is a 20-year investment veteran who managed over $2 billion in assets incorporating quantitative, fundamental, and technical disciplines and provided research for Fidelity, Capital Group, and Citadel. Clint also holds a bachelor's and a master's degree in finance. DISCLOSURE Investing always involves risk. Never invest more than you are willing to lose. Past results do not guarantee future results. Trading With Larry Live is presented by Opportunistic Trader, a publishing company. The indicators, strategies, reports, articles, and all other features of our products - including these videos - are provided for informational and educational purposes only. We operate in accordance with the SEC's "publisher's exclusion" from certain securities laws. To qualify for this exclusion from securities licensing, we must be a "bona fide" publisher that offers non-individualized investment advice to the general public on a regular basis. Under no circumstances should you construe anything that appears in videos, newsletters, reports, or on our website as personalized investment advice. For more information visit our website at https://www.opportunistictrader.com/trading-with-larry-benedict/

July 28, 2026

The Ceasefire Trap Traders Keep Falling For

Traders keep falling for the same ceasefire rally. Larry Benedict, Eric Shamilov, and Clint Brewer aren't buying it on Trading With Larry Live. On this Macro Monday, the panel sizes up Wednesday's live Fed decision, where rate-hike odds sit near 34% and two hikes are now priced for September and December. They also weigh oil's sharp pullback after another Middle East ceasefire, Google's earnings, and NVIDIA's roughly $750 billion AI financing round ahead of a heavy hyperscaler earnings week. KEY QUESTIONS Why doesn't the panel trust the latest ceasefire rally? They have watched the same script play out over and over, a ceasefire followed by a few quiet days and then a breakdown, so for the tenth time they doubt the peace holds; Larry warns oil is being used as a political tool, and Clint says the time to buy oil was the night before, not on the gap down from the high $80s per barrel. Why does Larry Benedict think the Fed could surprise with a rate hike? Larry is officially in the "camp of no" for the July 29, 2026 meeting, but he suspects new chair Kevin Warsh wants to catch the market off guard, and the only real surprise left is a hike, with markets pricing roughly a 34% chance. Why are traders calling the AI trade a "circular reference"? The panel notes Google's July 2026 EPS was flattered by mark-ups on its SpaceX and Anthropic stakes, while NVIDIA's roughly $750 billion financing round has money cycling between the same AI names, raising the question of whether real value is being created. MARKET SNAPSHOT As of July 2026: Fed rate-hike odds ~34% for the July 29 meeting; Fed funds target 3.50%-3.75%; 30-year Treasury yield poking above 5.00%; oil in the high $80s per barrel after opening near $90; NASDAQ down roughly 9%-10% from its early-June high. CHAPTERS 0:00 Macro Monday Open: Ceasefire Gap-Up and a Live Fed Week 4:30 Weak July, S&P 500 50-Day Test, Oil Sells Off 5:35 Fed Rate-Hike Odds and the CPI/PPI Backdrop 6:39 Google Earnings: SpaceX and Anthropic Flatter EPS 7:00 Ceasefire Trap: Is the Oil Dip a Buy? 9:03 Watch Rates: 30-Year Above 5% Is the Real Tell 10:28 Two Rate Hikes Creep In: The CME FedWatch Tool 11:44 Larry Joins: Fed Move or "Camp of No"? 14:55 Warsh's Hawkish Surprise and Fed Credibility 17:43 Warsh's Defining Moment and a Valuation Minefield 22:07 The AI CapEx "Circular Reference" Problem 25:36 Nasdaq Trades Like Crack, S&P Like a Utility 28:35 Yields, August Volatility, and Quarter-End Markup 31:53 Could Warsh Shock Markets? Fed vs Earnings Week WATCH NEXT Zero Fear Pricing Signals Hidden Risk: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YfKTy4ZZCqY Memory Chip Boom Faces a Hidden Slowdown: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u-8HnYY1S7s Fed, Inflation & Interest Rates playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLJazk_1wSKko #LarryBenedict #FedRateHike #AIStocks #Nasdaq ABOUT LARRY BENEDICT Larry Benedict, a 40-year market veteran and former billionaire hedge fund manager who delivered a 20-year winning streak to his clients now helps everyday traders profit with a risk-focused approach to options, volatility, and macro trading. ABOUT ERIC SHAMILOV Eric Shamilov, a veteran trader with over a decade of experience, began his career trading commodities for Henry Kaufman's family office and later became the head trader of a quant-focused macro desk. He studied at NYU's Stern School of Business and is a member of the Economic Club of New York. ABOUT CLINT BREWER Clint Brewer is a 20-year investment veteran who managed over $2 billion in assets incorporating quantitative, fundamental, and technical disciplines and provided research for Fidelity, Capital Group, and Citadel. Clint also holds a bachelor's and a master's degree in finance. DISCLOSURE Investing always involves risk. Never invest more than you are willing to lose. Past results do not guarantee future results. Trading With Larry Live is presented by Opportunistic Trader, a publishing company. The indicators, strategies, reports, articles, and all other features of our products - including these videos - are provided for informational and educational purposes only. We operate in accordance with the SEC's "publisher's exclusion" from certain securities laws. To qualify for this exclusion from securities licensing, we must be a "bona fide" publisher that offers non-individualized investment advice to the general public on a regular basis. Under no circumstances should you construe anything that appears in videos, newsletters, reports, or on our website as personalized investment advice. For more information visit our website at https://www.opportunistictrader.com/trading-with-larry-benedict/

July 24, 2026

Why Wall Street Turned on AI Spending

Wall Street is turning on AI spending, analyst Clint Brewer warns on Trading With Larry Live, after Alphabet and Tesla earnings got punished. In the July 23, 2026 pre-market show, Clint Brewer flies solo while Larry Benedict and Eric Shamilov are out. He walks through the momentum unwind dragging chip stocks off their June peaks, what hyperscaler capital plans mean for the tape, and why traders now price two rate hikes this year despite last week's soft CPI report. KEY QUESTIONS Why did Alphabet and Tesla stocks fall after earnings? Clint Brewer says investors are now punishing AI capital spending: Alphabet lifted its CapEx guide to as much as $205 billion and posted its first negative free cash flow quarter in at least two decades, while Elon Musk said Tesla is spending as fast as it can. Why is the two-year Treasury yield important right now? Clint Brewer calls it the most important chart in the market right now: in July 2026 the two-year broke to a new high near 4.3%, well above the 3.50%–3.75% Fed funds target — a sign rates may head higher, not lower. Will the Fed raise rates in 2026? Per the CME FedWatch odds Clint Brewer cited on July 23, 2026, markets price about a 38% chance of a hike at next week's meeting and roughly 80% by September — with two hikes now expected before year-end, up from one a week earlier. MARKET SNAPSHOT As of July 2026: WTI crude above $90 per barrel; Alphabet down about 5% and Tesla down about 7% to 8% pre-market; many semiconductor stocks down more than 20% from June peaks. "The two-year yield tends to lead changes in the Fed funds rate." — Clint Brewer CHAPTERS 0:00 Clint Brewer Solo: Two Narratives Driving Markets 6:16 Tesla and Alphabet Earnings Punished Pre-Market 7:31 Alphabet's $205 Billion CapEx Guide 9:23 Alphabet's First Negative Free Cash Flow Quarter 11:22 QQQ Triangle Breakdown: The Setup 14:55 QQQ Back-Tests Broken Support From Below 15:42 Semiconductor Momentum Unwind Deepens 18:06 SMH Chart: How Far Chip Stocks Could Fall 21:43 Soft CPI Meets a Hawkish Rate Outlook 22:23 Kevin Warsh's Hawkish First Fed Meeting 23:44 Two-Year Yield: The Hidden Rate-Hike Signal 25:55 CME FedWatch: Market Prices Two 2026 Hikes 29:35 Oil Back Above $90 and Inflation Fears 30:36 Oil's Geopolitical Risk Premium WATCH NEXT Why Warsh's First Fed Meeting May Move Markets: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eki90F0eDJY Memory Chip Boom Faces a Hidden Slowdown: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u-8HnYY1S7s Fed, Inflation & Interest Rates playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLJazk_1wSKko #LarryBenedict #RateHike #AISpending #SemiconductorStocks #OilPrices ABOUT LARRY BENEDICT Larry Benedict, a 40-year market veteran and former billionaire hedge fund manager who delivered a 20-year winning streak to his clients now helps everyday traders profit with a risk-focused approach to options, volatility, and macro trading. ABOUT ERIC SHAMILOV Eric Shamilov, a veteran trader with over a decade of experience, began his career trading commodities for Henry Kaufman's family office and later became the head trader of a quant-focused macro desk. He studied at NYU's Stern School of Business and is a member of the Economic Club of New York. ABOUT CLINT BREWER Clint Brewer is a 20-year investment veteran who managed over $2 billion in assets incorporating quantitative, fundamental, and technical disciplines and provided research for Fidelity, Capital Group, and Citadel. Clint also holds a bachelor's and a master's degree in finance. DISCLOSURE Investing always involves risk. Never invest more than you are willing to lose. Past results do not guarantee future results. Trading With Larry Live is presented by Opportunistic Trader, a publishing company. The indicators, strategies, reports, articles, and all other features of our products - including these videos - are provided for informational and educational purposes only. We operate in accordance with the SEC's "publisher's exclusion" from certain securities laws. To qualify for this exclusion from securities licensing, we must be a "bona fide" publisher that offers non-individualized investment advice to the general public on a regular basis. Under no circumstances should you construe anything that appears in videos, newsletters, reports, or on our website as personalized investment advice. For more information visit our website at https://www.opportunistictrader.com/trading-with-larry-benedict/

July 23, 2026

Real Stops Could Save Your Account

Real stops separate traders who survive a headline-driven market from those who blow up, Larry Benedict warns on Trading With Larry Live. In the July 22, 2026, pre-market show, a fake Trump tweet knocks the Nasdaq down in seconds. That is proof, Larry Benedict argues to co-host Eric Shamilov, of a market that punishes loose risk control. The two also debate why the AI trade has gone quiet against rising oil and bond yields. And they ask whether Micron's two-year run from $100 to $900 is momentum or gambling. KEY QUESTIONS How does Larry Benedict avoid getting stopped out by fake news? A fake tweet knocked the Nasdaq down about 80 points in July 2026, and Larry's defense is sizing: keep positions small enough to sit through headline blips. But always keep real stops working in the market, so a genuine shock cannot blow up the account. Why has the AI trade gone quiet? Larry Benedict says that as of July 2026 he hears no new deal announcements from OpenAI, Anthropic, or the other AI leaders. He points to Meta selling and renting out surplus data-center equipment — a warning sign the build-out ran ahead of demand. What makes a great trader according to Larry Benedict? Speaking in July 2026, Larry says the best of the roughly 500 traders he managed shared controlled aggression — often former athletes, smart but not too smart. The best are cautious in everyday life yet fully confident taking calculated risk. MARKET SNAPSHOT As of July 2026: oil $87 per barrel; 10-year Treasury yield 4.64%; Nasdaq futures down about 1% pre-market after rising 1.8% the prior session; VIX near the low end of its recent range. "Make sure you're using real stops in the market so that you don't blow up." — Larry Benedict CHAPTERS 0:00 Nasdaq and S&P Lower Before the Open 6:02 Bank of Japan Rate Talk and a 50-Year Low Yen 7:18 The AI Trade Has Gone Silent 8:36 Oil Near $90 and the Inflation Problem 9:14 A Choppy Market With No Trend 11:56 The 10-Year Yield's Path Toward 5% 14:08 Micron: Momentum Trade or Gambling Chip? 15:14 A Fake Trump Tweet Blips the Nasdaq 17:16 Iran, the Strait of Hormuz, and Oil Risk 20:14 How Wars Used to Trade: Bonds and Gold 25:38 Meta's Surplus AI Gear and Moonshot's Cheaper Models 27:56 What Makes a Great Trader: Managing 500 Traders 34:38 Zero DTE Trade Ideas for the Day 38:11 Long S&P Over Nasdaq and a Real-Stops Warning WATCH NEXT Memory Chip Boom Faces a Hidden Slowdown: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u-8HnYY1S7s Earnings Season Could Trap the Tech Bulls: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JO7YWlxf3Uk AI Stocks & Tech Trades playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLThT0CUcxBrM #LarryBenedict #AIStocks #OilPrices #StockMarket #TradingPsychology ABOUT LARRY BENEDICT Larry Benedict, a 40-year market veteran and former billionaire hedge fund manager who delivered a 20-year winning streak to his clients now helps everyday traders profit with a risk-focused approach to options, volatility, and macro trading. ABOUT ERIC SHAMILOV Eric Shamilov, a veteran trader with over a decade of experience, began his career trading commodities for Henry Kaufman's family office and later became the head trader of a quant-focused macro desk. He studied at NYU's Stern School of Business and is a member of the Economic Club of New York. ABOUT CLINT BREWER Clint Brewer is a 20-year investment veteran who managed over $2 billion in assets incorporating quantitative, fundamental, and technical disciplines and provided research for Fidelity, Capital Group, and Citadel. Clint also holds a bachelor's and a master's degree in finance. DISCLOSURE Investing always involves risk. Never invest more than you are willing to lose. Past results do not guarantee future results. Trading With Larry Live is presented by Opportunistic Trader, a publishing company. The indicators, strategies, reports, articles, and all other features of our products - including these videos - are provided for informational and educational purposes only. We operate in accordance with the SEC's "publisher's exclusion" from certain securities laws. To qualify for this exclusion from securities licensing, we must be a "bona fide" publisher that offers non-individualized investment advice to the general public on a regular basis. Under no circumstances should you construe anything that appears in videos, newsletters, reports, or on our website as personalized investment advice. For more information visit our website at https://www.opportunistictrader.com/trading-with-larry-benedict/