Trading with Larry Live

📍 In this episode: 🕒 Timestamps: 👤About Larry Benedict Larry Benedict, a 40-year trading veteran and former billionaire hedge fund manager, delivered a 20-year winning streak to his clients through some of the worst market meltdowns. Now he helps everyday traders profit with hedge fund-level insights, strategies, and trade recommendations. 👤 About Eric Shamilov Eric Shamilov has over a decade of experience in trading and research. He began his career trading commodities for Henry Kaufman’s family office and later became the head trader of a quant-focused macro desk. More recently, he has been trading managed accounts for family offices and working alongside Larry Benedict. He studied at NYU’s Stern School of Business and is a member of the Economic Club of New York. 👤 About Clint Brewer Clint Brewer brings 20 years of investment industry experience. That includes providing research for some of the largest institutions in the world, including Fidelity, Capital Group, and Citadel. He managed more than $2 billion in assets incorporating quantitative, fundamental, and technical disciplines. Clint also holds a bachelor’s and a master’s degree in finance. 📢 Stay Connected 📢 Email: [email protected] Website: https://www.opportunistictrader.com/ #LarryBenedict #OneTickerTrader #Trading #StockMarket #Volatility #FedMoves #Premarket DISCLOSURE Investing always involves the risk of loss. You should never invest more than you are willing to lose. Past results are no guarantee of any future result. Trading With Larry Live is presented by Opportunistic Trader. Opportunistic Trader is a publishing company and the indicators, strategies, reports, articles, and all other features of our products — including these videos — are provided for informational and educational purposes only. For this reason, we operate in accordance with the SEC's “publisher’s exclusion” from certain securities laws. To qualify for this exclusion from securities licensing, we must be a “bona fide” publisher that offers non-individualized investment advice to the general public on a regular basis. Under no circumstances should you construe anything that appears in these videos, in our newsletters and reports, or on our website as personalized investment advice. If you have any questions or want more information about Opportunistic Trader and our policies, you can call our Member Services team Monday–Friday, 9 a.m.–5 p.m. ET at 888-206-3481 or email them at [email protected]

📍 In this episode: Larry Benedict and Eric Shamilov break down the most anticipated earnings reports in market history — Nvidia — and Larry doesn't hold back, calling Jensen Wang's number "humanly unimaginable." But the conversation goes far beyond the trade: Larry argues that today's market is the biggest bubble he's seen in 40 years — dwarfing 1999, 2008, and every crisis in between — and explains why you'll never see it pop until it's already too late. The duo also takes on Trump's trading and the most corrupt inside-information machine in market history, debates whether the end of earnings season marks the top, sizes up the SpaceX IPO at a staggering $1.5 trillion valuation using a "price-to-meme ratio," and examines how rising rates and surging Mag Seven debt could set up a repeat of 2022's carnage. Add in a live oil futures curve breakdown, a TLT trade update, an Iron Condor setup on the S&P, and a frank assessment of the Strait of Hormuz standoff and what it means for crude — and this is one episode you can't afford to skip. 🕒 Timestamps: 1:02 - How to Trade NVDA Into Earnings 6:24 - The Nvidia Straddle: Priced Right or Dead Wrong? 11:06 - Jensen Wang's "Element" 12:13 - Trump's 4,000 Trades 16:02 - End of Earnings Season = Top of the Market? 18:10 - SpaceX: The Most Absurd IPO Ever 19:57 - This Is the Biggest Bubble 21:57 - How Bubbles Pop — And Why You'll Never See It Coming 29:44 - Rising Rates Are Tightening the Noose 31:47 - Xi, Putin, and Why China Is Dumping U.S. Bonds 33:48 - Strait of Hormuz: Why Can't the Greatest Military on Earth Open It? 35:29 - The TLT Trade: Betting on Lower Rates 37:19 - Oil Futures Curve: What It's Really Telling You 41:00 - What to Watch Before Nvidia Reports 51:11 - Is the Straddle Worth Selling? 52:24 - "Price to Meme" Ratio 53:57 - Nvidia Earnings Are the Show 👤About Larry Benedict Larry Benedict, a 40-year trading veteran and former billionaire hedge fund manager, delivered a 20-year winning streak to his clients through some of the worst market meltdowns. Now he helps everyday traders profit with hedge fund-level insights, strategies, and trade recommendations. 👤 About Eric Shamilov Eric Shamilov has over a decade of experience in trading and research. He began his career trading commodities for Henry Kaufman’s family office and later became the head trader of a quant-focused macro desk. More recently, he has been trading managed accounts for family offices and working alongside Larry Benedict. He studied at NYU’s Stern School of Business and is a member of the Economic Club of New York. 👤 About Clint Brewer Clint Brewer brings 20 years of investment industry experience. That includes providing research for some of the largest institutions in the world, including Fidelity, Capital Group, and Citadel. He managed more than $2 billion in assets incorporating quantitative, fundamental, and technical disciplines. Clint also holds a bachelor’s and a master’s degree in finance. 📢 Stay Connected 📢 Email: [email protected] Website: https://www.opportunistictrader.com/ #LarryBenedict #OneTickerTrader #Trading #StockMarket #Volatility #FedMoves #Premarket DISCLOSURE Investing always involves the risk of loss. You should never invest more than you are willing to lose. Past results are no guarantee of any future result. Trading With Larry Live is presented by Opportunistic Trader. Opportunistic Trader is a publishing company and the indicators, strategies, reports, articles, and all other features of our products — including these videos — are provided for informational and educational purposes only. For this reason, we operate in accordance with the SEC's “publisher’s exclusion” from certain securities laws. To qualify for this exclusion from securities licensing, we must be a “bona fide” publisher that offers non-individualized investment advice to the general public on a regular basis. Under no circumstances should you construe anything that appears in these videos, in our newsletters and reports, or on our website as personalized investment advice. If you have any questions or want more information about Opportunistic Trader and our policies, you can call our Member Services team Monday–Friday, 9 a.m.–5 p.m. ET at 888-206-3481 or email them at [email protected]

📍 In this episode: With the S&P 500 hitting record highs while nearly 10% of its members touched 52-week lows, Clint and Eric walk through the advance/decline line, market breadth data, and an unsettling parallel to the 1999–2000 internet bubble top. The conversation turns to inflation and the Fed, where rate hike odds are quietly creeping higher and any talk of cuts is officially off the table. They also share a compelling oil chart setup pointing toward $127 WTI, explain why rising oil prices are the single biggest threat to equities right now, and identify Bitcoin's bear flag pattern as the basis for a high-conviction Coinbase short trade. On the tactical side, they map out a 0DTE S&P options strategy for the session — and why no rush to pull the trigger ahead of Nvidia's earnings. It's a dense, detail-rich episode that connects the macro dots from the Fed to oil to crypto — and tells you exactly where the opportunities are hiding. 🕒 Timestamps: 3:46 - VIX Expiry, Skew, and What Options Are Telling Us 8:29 - Inflation Is Finally Spooking the Market 9:38 - The Hidden Crack: S&P at Highs While Half the Market Bleeds 11:24 - The Internet Bubble Comparison Nobody Wants to Hear 13:53 - Rate Hike Odds Are Rising 14:23 - The Fed Power Shift 18:07 - What the Media Missed About Trump's China Summit 23:16 - Oil Is Setting Up for a Big Move Higher 25:32 - WTI Futures: Is $127 the Next Target? 27:52 - What Rising Oil Means for Bonds, Rates, and Stocks 28:52 - Where Smart Money Is Moving Right Now 32:41 - Bitcoin Bear Flag and a Compelling Coinbase Short Setup 35:47 - Key S&P Levels Mapped Out 39:27 - How to Read the VIX Correctly in This Market 43:05 - 0DTE Iron Condor: Breaking Down the Setup 45:44 - Dollar/Yen Is Back at a Critical Level 48:09 - Key Takeaways for the Week 👤About Larry Benedict Larry Benedict, a 40-year trading veteran and former billionaire hedge fund manager, delivered a 20-year winning streak to his clients through some of the worst market meltdowns. Now he helps everyday traders profit with hedge fund-level insights, strategies, and trade recommendations. 👤 About Eric Shamilov Eric Shamilov has over a decade of experience in trading and research. He began his career trading commodities for Henry Kaufman’s family office and later became the head trader of a quant-focused macro desk. More recently, he has been trading managed accounts for family offices and working alongside Larry Benedict. He studied at NYU’s Stern School of Business and is a member of the Economic Club of New York. 👤 About Clint Brewer Clint Brewer brings 20 years of investment industry experience. That includes providing research for some of the largest institutions in the world, including Fidelity, Capital Group, and Citadel. He managed more than $2 billion in assets incorporating quantitative, fundamental, and technical disciplines. Clint also holds a bachelor’s and a master’s degree in finance. 📢 Stay Connected 📢 Email: [email protected] Website: https://www.opportunistictrader.com/ #LarryBenedict #OneTickerTrader #Trading #StockMarket #Volatility #FedMoves #Premarket DISCLOSURE Investing always involves the risk of loss. You should never invest more than you are willing to lose. Past results are no guarantee of any future result. Trading With Larry Live is presented by Opportunistic Trader. Opportunistic Trader is a publishing company and the indicators, strategies, reports, articles, and all other features of our products — including these videos — are provided for informational and educational purposes only. For this reason, we operate in accordance with the SEC's “publisher’s exclusion” from certain securities laws. To qualify for this exclusion from securities licensing, we must be a “bona fide” publisher that offers non-individualized investment advice to the general public on a regular basis. Under no circumstances should you construe anything that appears in these videos, in our newsletters and reports, or on our website as personalized investment advice. If you have any questions or want more information about Opportunistic Trader and our policies, you can call our Member Services team Monday–Friday, 9 a.m.–5 p.m. ET at 888-206-3481 or email them at [email protected]

📍 In this episode: Larry Benedict and Eric Shamilov break down a wild pre-market session that opened with a fake Iran headline spiking oil futures — and somehow ended with the Nasdaq ripping 600 points off the overnight low on no real news. Larry calls it a 10-stock rally masquerading as a bull market. Everything under the hood looks ugly. The two debate whether this market is even tradeable anymore, with Larry laying out his case that payment for order flow and net position aggregation have turned the U.S. stock market into a full-on rigged casino — and why retail traders are the ones footing the bill. They also weigh in on the 60 Minutes segment covering Polymarket, Kalshi, and the Trump family's 5,000-plus trades, and why the Strait of Hormuz being closed for over a month hasn't mattered one bit to prices. They close with a stark warning: Keep your eye on bond yields, because there's a number out there that ends this whole charade. 🕒 Timestamps: 3:41 - The Nasdaq's Biggest Rally Ever 6:00 - The 1999-2000 IPO Playbook Is Back 8:27 - Is the "Buy Machine" Finally Running Out of Gas? 11:31 - This Is a 10-Stock Rally. Everything Else Is Down Money. 12:25 - Why Geopolitics Don't Move Markets Anymore 15:37 - Straddles, Premium & the Options Setup for Today 20:57 - 70 Handles on Absolutely Nothing 21:41 - Is the VIX Broken? 27:26 - This Isn't Trading. It's a Full-Blown Gambling Casino. 39:28 - Can a Chip Company Really Be Worth $10 Trillion? 43:33 - The Rigged Game: Front Running & Payment for Order Flow 49:26 - Why Trade in a Rigged Market? 53:19 - Where to Sell Into Strength 55:25 - The Bond Yield Number That Could Break This Market 👤About Larry Benedict Larry Benedict, a 40-year trading veteran and former billionaire hedge fund manager, delivered a 20-year winning streak to his clients through some of the worst market meltdowns. Now he helps everyday traders profit with hedge fund-level insights, strategies, and trade recommendations. 👤 About Eric Shamilov Eric Shamilov has over a decade of experience in trading and research. He began his career trading commodities for Henry Kaufman’s family office and later became the head trader of a quant-focused macro desk. More recently, he has been trading managed accounts for family offices and working alongside Larry Benedict. He studied at NYU’s Stern School of Business and is a member of the Economic Club of New York. 👤 About Clint Brewer Clint Brewer brings 20 years of investment industry experience. That includes providing research for some of the largest institutions in the world, including Fidelity, Capital Group, and Citadel. He managed more than $2 billion in assets incorporating quantitative, fundamental, and technical disciplines. Clint also holds a bachelor’s and a master’s degree in finance. 📢 Stay Connected 📢 Email: [email protected] Website: https://www.opportunistictrader.com/ #LarryBenedict #OneTickerTrader #Trading #StockMarket #Volatility #FedMoves #Premarket DISCLOSURE Investing always involves the risk of loss. You should never invest more than you are willing to lose. Past results are no guarantee of any future result. Trading With Larry Live is presented by Opportunistic Trader. Opportunistic Trader is a publishing company and the indicators, strategies, reports, articles, and all other features of our products — including these videos — are provided for informational and educational purposes only. For this reason, we operate in accordance with the SEC's “publisher’s exclusion” from certain securities laws. To qualify for this exclusion from securities licensing, we must be a “bona fide” publisher that offers non-individualized investment advice to the general public on a regular basis. Under no circumstances should you construe anything that appears in these videos, in our newsletters and reports, or on our website as personalized investment advice. If you have any questions or want more information about Opportunistic Trader and our policies, you can call our Member Services team Monday–Friday, 9 a.m.–5 p.m. ET at 888-206-3481 or email them at [email protected]

📍 In this episode: Larry Benedict and Eric Shamilov agree this market is the most dangerous they've ever seen. Larry opens with a chilling conversation he had with a neighboring financial advisor. From there, the pair dig into the Nasdaq's jaw-dropping 30% surge in under two months, debating whether the entire move is nothing more than a mechanical gamma squeeze. They break down the geopolitical minefield hiding behind the market's eerie calm: Xi warning Trump over Taiwan, Trump begging China to pressure Iran into reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and why Larry believes the Iran situation is a political trap with no exit. They also explain why the historic divergence in the put/call skew says retail investors have no idea what's coming. 🕒 Timestamps: 3:45 - Nasdaq Up 30% in 6 Weeks 5:09 - Nobody Is Selling. That's the Problem. 7:28 - What Happens When the Market Drops 30%? 9:33 - We're an Equity-Centric Economy 11:51 - Mechanical Buying: One Giant Gamma Squeeze? 12:19 - Taiwan: The Risk Markets Are Ignoring 13:20 - Trump Is Begging Xi to Open the Strait of Hormuz 14:53 - Semiconductor Valuations Don't Add Up 18:05 - Dancing Up, Eyes Shut Down 18:49 - The Scariest Market I've Ever Seen 21:33 - Up 70 Points on Almost No Volume 22:26 - Winning on Kalshi 30:20 - Why Larry Hasn't Made a Straddle Trade in Four Weeks 33:14 - Xi Is Playing 4D Chess on Taiwan 36:33 - The Iran Trap 40:21 - Why Retail Only Buys Calls 43:47 - Nvidia Moves $400 Billion a Day 47:04 - The Put/Call Skew Just Hit Historic Extremes 52:09 - Weekly Call Spread Strategy 54:41 - S&P at 7,500 Risk/Reward 58:50 - Good Luck Out There 👤About Larry Benedict Larry Benedict, a 40-year trading veteran and former billionaire hedge fund manager, delivered a 20-year winning streak to his clients through some of the worst market meltdowns. Now he helps everyday traders profit with hedge fund-level insights, strategies, and trade recommendations. 👤 About Eric Shamilov Eric Shamilov has over a decade of experience in trading and research. He began his career trading commodities for Henry Kaufman’s family office and later became the head trader of a quant-focused macro desk. More recently, he has been trading managed accounts for family offices and working alongside Larry Benedict. He studied at NYU’s Stern School of Business and is a member of the Economic Club of New York. 👤 About Clint Brewer Clint Brewer brings 20 years of investment industry experience. That includes providing research for some of the largest institutions in the world, including Fidelity, Capital Group, and Citadel. He managed more than $2 billion in assets incorporating quantitative, fundamental, and technical disciplines. Clint also holds a bachelor’s and a master’s degree in finance. 📢 Stay Connected 📢 Email: [email protected] Website: https://www.opportunistictrader.com/ #LarryBenedict #OneTickerTrader #Trading #StockMarket #Volatility #FedMoves #Premarket DISCLOSURE Investing always involves the risk of loss. You should never invest more than you are willing to lose. Past results are no guarantee of any future result. Trading With Larry Live is presented by Opportunistic Trader. Opportunistic Trader is a publishing company and the indicators, strategies, reports, articles, and all other features of our products — including these videos — are provided for informational and educational purposes only. For this reason, we operate in accordance with the SEC's “publisher’s exclusion” from certain securities laws. To qualify for this exclusion from securities licensing, we must be a “bona fide” publisher that offers non-individualized investment advice to the general public on a regular basis. Under no circumstances should you construe anything that appears in these videos, in our newsletters and reports, or on our website as personalized investment advice. If you have any questions or want more information about Opportunistic Trader and our policies, you can call our Member Services team Monday–Friday, 9 a.m.–5 p.m. ET at 888-206-3481 or email them at [email protected]

📍 In this episode: Larry Benedict and analyst Clint Brewer react in real time to a shocking PPI print — 6% year-over-year, obliterating estimates — and break down why the market's refusal to care might be the most dangerous sign of all. They dig into the CME FedWatch tool to show how rate hike odds are quietly creeping back onto the table for the first time in years, and why four dissenting Fed votes at the last meeting signals growing dysfunction inside the committee. Larry and Clint also lay out their theory on why Trump loaded a plane with 19 top CEOs and flew to Beijing — and why it has less to do with trade deals and more to do with Iran, the Strait of Hormuz, and $100 oil that's been choking the economy for three months. Clint shares specific chart setups to watch that could be the catalysts that finally break this relentless rally. If you want to understand what's really driving this market beneath the surface, this is the episode to watch. 🕒 Timestamps: 3:42 - PPI Just Dropped — and It's Ugly 7:30 - Why PPI Always Leads CPI 8:38 - The Fed Is Trapped 10:57 - Worst Inflation Number in 40 Years 12:27 - Why Nvidia Is Ripping While the Dow Bleeds 13:20 - Iran, the Strait, and a Market That Doesn't Care 15:35 - Why Trump Brought 19 CEOs to China 19:52 - The Market Can Stay Crazy Longer Than You Think 21:10 - The 1990s Bubble Playbook: Is History Repeating? 23:10 - Bonds Creeping Toward Danger 25:13 - Cracks at the Fed 26:35 - Powell Isn't Going Anywhere 28:20 - Oil Chart Setup 30:23 - Narrow Leadership Is Getting Dangerous 31:06 - The 9:30 Rip Machine 36:25 - Global Yields Are Screaming — Nobody's Listening 41:15 - Micron 1998 vs. Nvidia Today: Same Story? 43:27 - Priced Beyond Perfection 45:21 - Two Things That Could Flip the S&P 46:36 - S&P Breadth Is Quietly Breaking Down 48:14 - The China Meeting: One Day, 19 CEOs, Zero Chance 54:05 - Gold on the Edge: What We're Watching 55:19 - Final Word: Don't Underestimate Xi 👤About Larry Benedict Larry Benedict, a 40-year trading veteran and former billionaire hedge fund manager, delivered a 20-year winning streak to his clients through some of the worst market meltdowns. Now he helps everyday traders profit with hedge fund-level insights, strategies, and trade recommendations. 👤 About Eric Shamilov Eric Shamilov has over a decade of experience in trading and research. He began his career trading commodities for Henry Kaufman’s family office and later became the head trader of a quant-focused macro desk. More recently, he has been trading managed accounts for family offices and working alongside Larry Benedict. He studied at NYU’s Stern School of Business and is a member of the Economic Club of New York. 👤 About Clint Brewer Clint Brewer brings 20 years of investment industry experience. That includes providing research for some of the largest institutions in the world, including Fidelity, Capital Group, and Citadel. He managed more than $2 billion in assets incorporating quantitative, fundamental, and technical disciplines. Clint also holds a bachelor’s and a master’s degree in finance. 📢 Stay Connected 📢 Email: [email protected] Website: https://www.opportunistictrader.com/ #LarryBenedict #OneTickerTrader #Trading #StockMarket #Volatility #FedMoves #Premarket DISCLOSURE Investing always involves the risk of loss. You should never invest more than you are willing to lose. Past results are no guarantee of any future result. Trading With Larry Live is presented by Opportunistic Trader. Opportunistic Trader is a publishing company and the indicators, strategies, reports, articles, and all other features of our products — including these videos — are provided for informational and educational purposes only. For this reason, we operate in accordance with the SEC's “publisher’s exclusion” from certain securities laws. To qualify for this exclusion from securities licensing, we must be a “bona fide” publisher that offers non-individualized investment advice to the general public on a regular basis. Under no circumstances should you construe anything that appears in these videos, in our newsletters and reports, or on our website as personalized investment advice. If you have any questions or want more information about Opportunistic Trader and our policies, you can call our Member Services team Monday–Friday, 9 a.m.–5 p.m. ET at 888-206-3481 or email them at [email protected]